CO129-502-6 China- general situation 7-1-1927 - 3-3-1927 — Page 2

1. Fo Conf

Memorandum on

7

the question of the

Jan '27

2

Recognition of the Southam Sort. (dalid 12 Dec)

memorandum

This

is

a

month old and

Although it

contains

some important pointi

gives only

an inadequate appreciation of

thi position.

Recent developments

Lave

done much to strengthen

The view that

recognition is the fol

policy

which offers the

best of not the only, Lofer of coming

and

all

our

principal advisas

Lold this view.

Au

Mims

wilk Canlon

in China

how

IL:

argumens

advanced

3

Fo can

be met.

There is

Chen's own

Hi icha that the

the forporal

cau

ba

no Soust that the facts justify recognition;

formula disposes of

Cantinge So not want it;

бо

squared with the Washington Treaty; and the North- and the othe Powas are

farford for it.

The Cantonese besides controlling fire provinces

Ikar adherents control

Lave

a foothold

in 4

olkero

Whil

2

hurre

as

will as

Mongolia;

only

absolutely

Chang Tso-lin

L

Chang Tsung Chang control only

2 Provinces apart from Manchuria;

Wu Pei Fu's another.

Fang

Province

controls

せんし

only

область

J

remaining

and

Ikru

KE ME TWO

onc

ら

a

a

Sun Chuan

former

of the

vort of Lo-mans-land

Yunnan & Kucichon, are

under the not vary effective

effective control

J Tang

Chi Yao.

This picture alove is favourable enough the